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2024-12-14 12:34:31

The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides the stabilization of expectations. The Economic Daily article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.Four people were injured when a bus in Jerusalem was shot, and four people were injured when a bus was shot at a tunnel checkpoint in the south of Jerusalem, one of whom was seriously injured.


Six members of the ruling party of South Korean President Yin Xiyue supported the impeachment of the president.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.


The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, and the Japanese yen once rose to 151. The Canadian dollar almost retreated the increase since the Bank of Canada cut interest rates. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.663 points, which was as low as 106.268 points at 10:56 Beijing time, and then as high as 106.806 points at 18:11. USD/JPY rose 0.34% to 152.47 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.02-152.82 yen. At 17:11, the daily low was refreshed and instantly reversed. When the US CPI data was released, the daily high was refreshed.The first-line private placement has become the strategic focus of "going to the position" and "adding flexibility". Recently, the A-share market has continued to fluctuate and strengthen, and market trading tends to be active. The private equity industry's judgment on the market outlook is generally positive. A number of first-line private placements said in an interview with reporters this week that the A-share market is expected to start up at the end of the year, and it is an important strategy to focus on "technological growth" and "domestic demand" in terms of structural mainline, maintain a high position and increase portfolio flexibility. (CSI Taurus)Goldman Sachs upgraded Societe Generale to neutral. Chris Hallam, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, had a previous rating of sell. The target price is 29.25 euros, which is 9% higher.

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